China started off hopefully and ended ugly overnight.
But Europe managed gains, riding the coat-tails of US pre-market algos.
SAUDIS TO SAY KHASHOGGI DIED FROM BOTCHED INTERROGATION: CNN
SAUDI ARABIA ETF KSA FALLS TO SESSION LOW, DOWN AS MUCH AS 1.8%
And while US equities were down overnight, they ramped into the US open and then chopped up and down – generally higher for Dow and S&P and lower for Nasdaq – all day… until the Saudi headlines hit and sparked selling and an ugly close.
The S&P was glued at its 200DMA all day, The Dow could not hold above its 100DMA, Nasdaq was unable to break above it 200DMA and Small Caps continue to be ugly.
VIX dipped a little today at front-end (remains above 20) but the term structure remains inverted.
The spike in volatility has been mostly in equity while other assets displayed a smaller increase.
Treasury yields were incredibly quiet today ending the day practically unchanged across the curve.
10Y Yields traded in an exceptionally tight 2bp range all day
Among the lowest range days of the year.
But there was on bond that moved. Sears
While the dollar drifted to 2-week lows… (the dollar has now flip-flopped higher and lower for 8 straight days)
Offshore Yuan trod water, finding upside resistance at the Yuan Fix.
The Turkish Lira rose for the 7th straight day…as Pastor Brunson arrived back on American soil.
Despite dollar weakness (and Saudi threats), crude and copper slipped lower on the day and PMs higher.
WTI Crude spiked at the open after the Saudi threat op-eds but faded all day and dipped when the CNN headlines hit late on.
Gold and Silver were bid during the Asia session and started to fade as Europe opened.
Gold tested its 100DMA (briefly).
And as a reminder, specs are about as short gold and silver as they have ever been (as of last Wednesday).
Fear and Greed “off the lows” but still at “extreme fear”.
Finally we note that today’s disappointing retail sales data sent US “hard” economic data reeling back near one-year lows.
-R.W.N II, yours in 322.
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