Daily Note : Outward Bound

 

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GLOBAL MACRO MONITOR 

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United States Continuing Jobless Claims was reported at 1,708K in 18/Aug from 1727K in the previous period. It was expected at 1725K.
United States Initial Jobless Claims was reported at 213K in 25/Aug from 210K in the previous period. It was expected at 214K.
United States EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change was reported at 70B in 24/Aug from 48Bcf in the previous period. It was expected at 64Bcf.
United States Natural Gas Stocks Change was reported at 70 Billion cf in 2018-08-24 from 48 in the previous period.
USDA Corn Unmilled Total Export Sales Data/Total

USDA Unmilled Corn Export Sales Data

USDA Soybeans Total Export Sales Data/Total

USDA Soybeans Export Sales Data

USDA All Wheat Total Export Sales Data/Total

USDA Total Wheat Export Sales Data CMY

USDA All Upland Cotton Total Export Sales/Total
USDA Current Marketing Year Upland Cotton Export Sales
US Personal Income MoM SA

US Personal Consumption Expenditures Nominal Dollars MoM SA

US Personal Consumption Expenditures Chained 2012 Dollars MoM SA

US Personal Consumption Expenditures Chain Type Price Index MoM SA

US Personal Consumption Expenditures Chain Type Price Index YoY SA

US Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Price Index MoM SA

US Personal Consumption Expenditure Core Price Index YoY SA

US Initial Jobless Claims SA
US Continuing Jobless Claims SA

EIA Natural Gas Implied Flow/US Total

US DOE Working Natural Gas Change in Estimated Storage Data

Bloomberg US Weekly Consumer Comfort Index


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Euro Stoxx 50 running out of mojo but will stay long for now.

(Source: H.F.T )

Euro Bank Index 

Spain doesn’t look good at all.

(Source: H.F.T )

Italy still very weak.

(Source: H.F.T )

Italian 10 year yields.

(Source: H.F.T )

EEM likely going to be under some pressure

(Source: H.F.T )

Nikkei bullish sentiment is at 77%.

(Source: H.F.T )

Shanghai looks weak.

(Source: H.F.T )

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SPX bullish sentiment is at 80%, up 5 points from yesterday.

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(Source: H.F.T )

NDX bullish sentiment at 83%, up 3 points from yesterday.

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(Source: H.F.T )

Dow Jones Industrial Average stalling after a big of an overthrow.

(Source: H.F.T )

IWM Russell 2000 stalling too.

(Source: H.F.T )

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US Dollar bullish sentiment is at 51% and could hold the midpoint here and bounce as it has come down from 96% recently.

US Dollar Index could start a bounce after the green Setup 9

(Source: H.F.T )

Euro bullish sentiment is at 53%.

(Source: H.F.T )

British Pound Sterling bullish sentiment at 38%, up 7 points from yesterday. Screenshot 2018-08-30 14.22.46.png

(Source: H.F.T )

Yuan weakened overnight and price flipped too (green 1).

(Source: H.F.T )

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 Gold bullish sentiment is at 32%“Gold still needs to do a lot more work above the 50 day would be a good start.”

(Source: H.F.T )

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Crude bullish sentiment is at 87% and this is extreme. I expect a pullback in the next couple days. 

(Source: H.F.T )


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T-Bond bullish sentiment is at 70%, up 3 points from yesterday.

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(Source: H.F.T )

US 30Y Yield 

T-Note bullish sentiment is at 34%, up 2 points from yesterday.

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(Source: H.F.T )

US 10Y Yield 

TLT Bond ETF held the 50 day

(Source: H.F.T )

US 3m10s

US 2s10s 

US 5s30s

US OIS 

 

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CBOE SPX Volatility Index 

 

CBOE SKEW INDEX 

 

Merrill Lynch Option Volatility Estimate MOVE INDEX 


WATCHLIST 

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-R.W.N II

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